Veranstaltungen

08. November 2011, 17:00 bis 19:00

Violence During Democratization and the Quality of Democracy

Andere

This paper investigates the role of violent civil conflicts during the process of democratization for the quality of emerging democracies in terms of civil liberties. We propose a theory of endogenous political regime determination in which violent conflict can arise as equilibrium outcome. A peaceful democratization leads to democracies with a high degree of civil liberties, reflecting a social contract according to which all groups are politically represented and the rulers deliberately abstain from wasteful rent extraction. A transition to democracy under a violent conflict is less likely to lead to a system with a high degree of civil liberties. Empirical evidence from the third wave of democratization based on a difference-in-difference methodology supports the theoretical predictions. The findings suggest that violent conflicts during the democratic transition have persistent negative effects on the quality and growth performance of the emerging democracies.

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